GI
GENESCO INC (GCO)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY26 delivered a clean top- and bottom-line beat versus expectations: revenue $474.0M (+4% YoY) and EPS loss improved to ($2.02) GAAP / ($2.05) non-GAAP, with comps +5% led by Journeys +8% and SG&A leverage of 170 bps . Versus Street, revenue and EPS were ahead: $474.0M vs $463.2M consensus and ($2.05) vs ($2.09) consensus, respectively (both small beats).*
- Management reiterated FY26 adjusted EPS guidance of $1.30–$1.70 despite newly elevated reciprocal tariffs; raised total sales outlook to +1%–2% (from flat to +1%) on FX tailwind, and narrowed comps to +2%–+3% (from +2%–+4%) .
- Journeys’ transformation continued: athletic penetration rose, average selling price increased ~12%, and 4.0 store remodels delivered >25% sales lift; 39 remodels completed in Q1, targeting 75+ by year-end .
- Key stock-relevant narrative: sustained Journeys momentum, tariff mitigation plans (estimated $15M unmitigated cost in branded business offset through sourcing, pricing, and cost actions), and reiterated FY26 EPS range despite macro and tariff uncertainty .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Journeys momentum: comps +8% (third straight positive quarter), broad-based strength across seven brands; ASP up ~12% as premium product mix expands .
- Expense control: SG&A at 52.5% of sales, 170 bps leverage YoY, driven by lower occupancy/bonuses and cost savings programs .
- 4.0 store remodels: 39 stores remodeled with >25% sales lift; plan to reach 75+ by year-end, signaling durable comp support into back-to-school/holiday .
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What Went Wrong
- Gross margin rate declined: 46.7% vs 47.3% YoY (adjusted -90 bps), reflecting mix shift toward athletic at Journeys/Schuh, higher promotion at Schuh, and liquidation in Brands .
- Johnston & Murphy softness: comps -2% with factory channel pressure, offsetting slight strength in full-line retail and online; segment operating margin compressed to 0.7% vs 3.0% YoY .
- Tariff overhang: management quantified ~$15M unmitigated tariff cost in branded business at current rates, requiring mitigating actions and pricing later in the year .
Financial Results
Multi-period performance (YoY and sequential; periods left→right = oldest→newest)
Q1 FY26 actual vs consensus (beats/misses)
- Note: CFO highlighted EPS would have been $0.05 better absent Q1 buybacks, which were dilutive in a loss quarter but accretive for the full year .
Segment breakdown (sales and operating income)
KPIs and operating metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO Mimi Vaughn: “Third consecutive quarter of positive comparable sales increases… driven by Journeys… our cost structure realignment and store optimization helped drive a nice year-over-year improvement in operating income.”
- On tariffs and mitigation: “We are well-diversified… limited and reducing exposure to China… plan to offset much of the impact this year” .
- On Journeys strategy: “Athletic grew well into the double digits… now more than a third of footwear sales… 4.0 stores have delivered a sales lift of more than 25%… 39 stores to 75+ this year” .
- CFO Sandra Harris: “Adjusted EPS would have been $0.05 better had we not opportunistically bought back shares… reiterating full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $1.30 to $1.70, incorporating the impact of current tariffs.”
Q&A Highlights
- Brand pipeline and scaling: Newer athletic brands (e.g., Hoka, reintroduced Saucony) validate Journeys in lifestyle running; start in ~50+ doors and scale quickly based on demand .
- Category mix and margins: Canvas/vulcanized remains pressured; athletic strength offsetting, with premium mix driving higher ASPs despite lower unit margins; expecting gross margin pressure to ease in 2H as anniversary passes .
- Back-half drivers: Expect positive comps despite tougher compares via better allocations, expanded premium assortment, accelerated remodels (75+ by year-end), and targeted marketing to broaden teen female reach .
- Q2 setup: Journeys tracking similar to Q1; Schuh/J&M softer; marketing pull-forward and tariff timing imply SG&A deleverage of ~100–140 bps and EPS ~$0.40–$0.50 below last year in Q2 before back-half offset .
- Pricing power: Limited vendor price increases so far; brands with momentum have more pricing latitude; consumer is trading up for must-have items .
Estimates Context
- Q1 FY26 vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $474.0M vs $463.2M (beat); EPS ($2.05) vs ($2.09) (beat); each based on 3 estimates.*
- FY26 EPS consensus $1.57 sits modestly above the midpoint of reiterated $1.30–$1.70 guidance, implying Street expects mitigation to largely offset tariff impact and back-half execution to deliver leverage.*
- Potential revisions: Near-term (Q2) downside flagged by management may lead to quarterly estimate trims, but full-year numbers likely hold near current range given reaffirmed EPS and improved sales outlook (FX tailwind) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Journeys is the engine: +8% comps, +12% ASP, 4.0 remodels >25% lift—sustained product and format momentum into back-to-school appears intact .
- Execution vs tariffs: With ~10% China exposure overall and ~$15M branded tariff headwind, multi-pronged mitigation (re-sourcing, cost-out, targeted pricing) supports reiterated FY EPS guidance—a critical de-risking signal .
- Mix dynamics: Athletic growth boosts ASP and dollars but compresses rate; expect gross margin rate headwind to moderate later in FY26 as mix stabilizes and promotional pressure at Schuh normalizes .
- Capital deployment: Q1 buybacks (~5% of share count) were dilutive in the quarter but accretive to FY EPS; ~$29.8M authorization remains, but guidance assumes no further repurchases .
- Near-term setup: Management telegraphed a softer Q2 (marketing pull-forward, tariff timing), with back-half offset from seasonality, remodel lift, and stronger allocations—positioning FY to track guidance .
- Valuation watchpoint: Street FY26 EPS ~$1.57* sits within guidance; sustaining Journeys comps and remodel ROI is key to multiple support while tariff headlines persist.
- Risk checks: U.K. consumer selectivity and J&M factory-store pressures remain watch items; inventory build (+15% YoY) is intentional to support Journeys but warrants monitoring for turns .
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- Values retrieved from S&P Global.